After careful consideration of this morning's data, I have come to the conclusion that the SPC is smoking some real good grass. They have the High Risk area about 200 miles to far to the NE. The Dryline is still way out in western OK, therefore bringing the Severe Wx threat way back to the west. We plan to head for a target in the Iola, KS area to start with. I think that we will be getting an MD here pretty soon stating that Eastern KS will be added to the High Risk and W ILL will be placed under a moderate at the 1630 Update. On another note, there are reports of "Cornstalks falling From the Skies this morning as a very powerful supercell trucked through the KC Metro area. this storm had the most impressive radar tag i have seen all year. Velocities were GATE to GATE. I hope no one was injured.

Well IM off so good luck and HAPPY HUNTING.

MATT

As we enter the second week of march we are looking at a real possibility of severe weather in the south central plains and the mississippi valley. ATTM moisture looks to be plentiful for a march set up due to a strong high over the eastern conus and an approaching long wave, thus allowing for the gulf to be wide open. i can't stress enough how nice it is to have true gulf moisture instead of recycled continental air. Fortunately (with a sedistc point of view) the show might just get going in Central and Eastern OK. This evening's model runs are extremly important as this is the point in which the GFS has started pissing on itself in the past. the chase crew is ready, my tv station is unorganized and pending Heather getting off work we might have a couple days to chase. this is still way out and things could change but like the rest of the chase world i like the status quo.

Later and more after the 00z runs

TEXT and Font by heather

Im not that GAY

Heritage

As we all know, Oklahoma was founded on the basis of the Indian tribes of the United States. Due to the fact that the Cherokee Nation is one of the most prosperous and thriving indian tribes in our country today, they give non discriminatory help to all members. This help comes in the form of low interest housing loans (price doesnt matter), Money for college or graduate school, healthcare and many other ways. Why is this being posted in a stormchasing blog, well because im proud to say that after many years of searching my family has established a proven lineage that dates back to the late 1500's. This is important to me because i can now access benefits that will help me pay for my college and graduate school. Since i now have a role number, my children will have the same opportunities. Every year billions are allocated by the federal government to indian tribes for benefits to their members as a special interest group. I encourage everyone to check on their status and see if they may have some form of indian heritage. this is not a way to suck money or finagle money from the government but merely an oppotunity to use a resource that has been made avaliable..

I promise, when i have severe weather to talk about you will find it here first..

Later and thanks to my 4 faithful readers

Storm Chase Community

I have taken part in a blog war that dealt with private forums that I take part in. After all this has ended I do regret my coments made and I do not mean to make a bad impression of myself or to damage what the entire stormchase communtiy is made of. Each of us has our little niches or groups that we associate with on more than a just "forum" basis. I do not in any way, shape, or form believe that WE were trying to degrade the stormtrack community, with the name of our forum or our antics. I once again apologize for any I have offended, but I do not feel that some of the comments coming from either side were warranted.

Later

CRAP OUT

After a long week of flip flopping by both the GFS and the NAM i have finally decided to give up on the scenario playing out. Moisture is the largest factor with only low 50 TDs making it up into the target area. Also the main upper air energy has since shunted off to the north which is the main reasoin for moisture not being drawn up into the high plains. It is nice to be back into severe wx mode and according to SPC a hemispheric change is starting to occur. Tuesday thru Thursday of next week is looking very promising and seem to be attracting quite a bit of attention. Its still early but we may have a couple of days of severe wx to chase. What makes this even better is that my Spring Break starts next Tues. I would much rather spend spring break here under a Meso than in Cozumel or Cancun.... way overated.....

Early March

March is upon us and as luck would have it, there is a possibilty of some severe weather. To what extent we do not know! However, what we do know is that a series of troughs are set to come across the conus in the 1st couple of days of March. The first wave (March 1) comes through and unfortunatly there is no moisture to interact with the first wave. However after three days of good southerly fetch the next wave will come into the southern plains sometime in the March 3 timeframe. The big difference here is that moisture will have had plenty of time to surge northward. Currently all of central and eastern texas, all of louisiana and a good chunk of southern Arkansas are under heavy rain. For instance Dallas has picked up nearly 4" of rain since the pineapple express opened up. My point through all of my ramble is that little thing called evapotranspiration. With all the rain to the south there will be added moisture to whatever else is avaliable. This is important due to the fact that many times in the early part of the season we struggle with good setups because the Gulf has yet to open up fully like it does during May, so any extra help (Evapotranspiration) we will take. I remember days in March and even early April when people were bitching about the fact that we were going to come up 3 or 4 or even 5 degrees short of what we needed and thanks to evapotranspiration we got the moisture content needed. Well this is a very long ramble and all good things must come to an end.. im gonna go watch OSU v TT

More updates as time goes by.

Later

My Favorite Image

The Mulvane tornado was one of the most photographed tornadoes of 2004. The majority of the photos that were taken on this day were from the south and east of this F-3. however due to the fact that I found a little dirt road that lead away from the baseball size hail, it gave me an opportunity to take this picture looking due west.

"Hello Boys, Im Back"

Hello to all. My blog is now back and running. I promise to keep more updated postings and lots of pictures, since it is becoming severe weather season. this was a sucessful post, many more to come.

Later